A €4 bar bought in the supermarket never shows up in Meta's purchase column. So the honest answer: paid social here is brand, not performance.
Analysis built with paid.social, the ad-planning tool from Jonas Sluijs, former Meta growth leadThe scorecard is the trap. Tony's sells through roughly 20,000 supermarket doors and only a sliver direct, so measuring paid social on last-click ROAS will make it look like a failure and hide its real job. A person who sees the mission on Instagram and buys the bar in Albert Heijn a week later is a win Meta will never attribute. That's why this is a moderate fit for classic performance marketing, and a strong one for brand.
So run paid social to build the mission and the shelf pull, and measure it the way brand advertising is measured: brand-lift studies and incremental retail sales, not a ROAS column. The small DTC shop can carry its own catalogue campaign, but don't let the tail wag the dog by optimising the whole account to a channel that is 90% of the revenue somewhere Meta can't see.
Brand, not catalogue. There's little to sell directly, so creative builds the mission and the moment. Two angles: the cause that makes the brand famous, and the everyday reason to reach for it.
We modelled the approach from Tony's public revenue, retail footprint, and pricing, plus CPG brand-measurement practice. The point here isn't a ROAS estimate, it's that a retail-led brand needs brand measurement. Our read, not Tony's data.